Method
Elo win probability
- Method
elo-winprob-v0- Version
elo-winprob-v0- As of
- 2026-07-19
- Family
- Models (game and rating)
- Grain
- game
Cohort rule
No cohort rule applies to these stats.
Stats this method computes
| Key | Name | Definition | Unit | Transform |
|---|---|---|---|---|
home_win_prob | Pregame home win probability (Home WP pre) | The home team's chance of winning before tipoff, from the pregame Elo difference with home court; an analytics estimate with a published calibration record. | probability (0-1) |
This page carries the definitions only. The full method note, its coverage and its calibration record publish with the data pages. Every value a data page shows will name this method and its version. All methods